ARTICLES & OP-EDs
Major Commentary
&
Analysis Articles
Opinion-Editorials
The Decline of Multilateralism and the Janus Factor – Diplomatic Courier
America’s Options in a World of Strategic Competition – Diplomatic Courier
Italy on the Frontlines of Europe's – The Jamestown Foundation
Changing Strategy Toward China – The Jamestown Foundation (China Brief)
Victory for the Strong Means Defeat for the West – Explores how the defense of Ukraine is tied to core western principles like sovereignty and the rule of law. [1]
Five Big Lessons From Russia's War Against Ukraine – Outlines major takeaways regarding the enduring relevance of military force and nuclear deterrence. [1]
Ukraine: The Moment of Truth Is Near – Analyzes battlefield realities and the strategic status quo in the Russia-Ukraine war. [1]
The Empires Strike Back: A New Age of Imperialism – Examines the return of traditional territorial ambitions and neo-imperialist tendencies among revisionist powers. [1]
The Limits of Liberalism: Adjectives Won’t Halt Putin – Critiques purely normative and economic responses to hard security threats. [1]​​
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Where We Get Thucydides Wrong: The Fallacies of History's First ‘Hegemonic’ War - Diplomacy & Statecraft, vol. 27, no. 1 - Prof. Novo argues that modern diplomacy often misreads Thucydides by reducing the Peloponnesian War to a simple, inevitable struggle between a rising Athens and a fearful Sparta.
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An Insoluble Problem: The Harding-Makarios Negotiations, Turkey, and the Cause of Cypriot Enosis - Journal of Mediterranean Studies, 24(1) - Discusses the failure of the 1955–56 negotiations between British governor Sir John Harding and Archbishop Makarios as a decisive missed opportunity in the Cyprus conflict.
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Watch Out, NATO: Turkey and Russia Might Team Up (The National Interest): This op-ed tracks strategic alignment shifts between Moscow and Ankara, and focuses on converging Syrian policy and shared Kurdish security complications. [1]
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Protests in Armenia - Democratic Death Throes or a New Dawn (The Atlanticist): Prof. Novo examines Armenia’s democratic protests, Russian influence, and why the United States and Europe should support Armenian sovereignty and reform.
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The Eastern Mediterranean: Pipeline Politics Force a Difficult Decision on US Foreign Policy: (The Harvard International Review) - Prof. Novo examines Eastern Mediterranean energy politics and the difficult strategic choices that competing pipeline interests pose for U.S. foreign policy.​
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The Fragility of the Deal: Details Matter in Ukraine’s Endgames (December 2025): Examines why the specific terms of any future peace settlement in Ukraine carry critical weight for long-term regional stability. [1]
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US to Europe — Get Used to a New World (February 2025): Discusses shifting geopolitical realities and expectations for transatlantic allies. [1]
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Victory for the Strong Means Defeat for the West (March 2024): Analyzes how the conflict in Ukraine is a defense of foundational Western principles like state sovereignty and the rule of law. [1]
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Five Big Lessons From Russia’s War Against Ukraine (February 2023): Breaks down major strategic takeaways regarding military force, nuclear deterrence, and Western solidarity. [1]
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Ukraine: The Moment of Truth Is Near (May 2023): Explores the deep political and military stakes tied to Ukraine’s strategic offensives. [1]
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The Empires Strike Back: A New Age of Imperialism (August 2022): Discusses the resurgence of neo-imperialist actions by revisionist powers challenging the post-1945 international order. [1]
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Italy Begins to Tire of War in Ukraine (June 2022): Looks at shifting domestic political dynamics and war fatigue within European nations. [1]
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A New and Darker Cold War (March 2022): Evaluates how alignment patterns, such as China's stance toward Russia, signal a darker shift in global security. [1]
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The Limits of Liberalism: Adjectives Won’t Halt Putin (February 2022): Argues that normative statements and economic sanctions are insufficient against aggressive revisionist powers without hard military backing. [1]
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Italy Slips China’s Embrace (December 2021): Analyzes transatlantic cooperation and changing Italian foreign policy trajectories regarding Chinese infrastructure initiatives. [1]
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